Sydney could be just one piece of new regulation away from experiencing a significant drop in property price growth.
Propertyology buyer’s agent Simon Pressley told Real Estate Business in a video interview that the Sydney market is a “house of cards” that could be affected by regulatory intervention.
Mr Pressley said that while he wasn’t predicting a crash, Sydney “doesn’t have very good, strong fundamentals” and is currently riding a wave of unsustainable growth.
“Our ‘house of cards’ concern is saying that a couple of triggers could be pulled that would really pull the rug out of the Sydney market,” he said. One of those triggers could be new lending rules that would make it harder for investors to access credit, he said.
The federal government’s proposed crackdown on foreign buyers could also trigger a slowdown, he added.
“That’s not saying that we expect Sydney to bust or for the floor to fall out the back of it,” Mr Pressley said.
“It’s understanding what drives Sydney, and when the momentum started about two years ago it was primarily an influx of Asian investors that started that momentum.”
Sydney’s median house price reached $782,000 at the end of March after recording 14.9 per cent annual growth, according to CoreLogic RP Data. The median unit price rose 9.7 per cent to $600,000.
Mr Pressley said a Sydney downturn would have a flow-on effect to consumer sentiment and business confidence in the rest of the country.
However, he said the impact would be limited because each capital city and town has its own distinct property market and economies.