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Inflation increase gives weight to Feb rate hike

By Staff Reporter
19 January 2010 | 9 minute read

Inflation has risen for the second consecutive month, adding to concern that more interest rate hikes are on the way.

According to the TD Securities - Melbourne Institute Inflation Gauge, consumer prices rose 0.3 per cent in December last year to 2.6 per cent – the highest level in nine months, but still within the Reserve Bank’s 2 to 3 per cent target band.

Core inflation was also within the Reserve Bank’s target range, coming in at 2.4 per cent for the year.

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TD Securities senior strategist, Annette Beacher, told ABC News that interest rates were still low considering Australia's seemingly rapid economic recovery.

"After a period of clear disinflation over the year from mid-2008, inflation has now not only bottomed out, but early signals suggest some emerging upside pressure. This shift justifies the recent rapid-fire adjustment to the cash rate the RBA from 3 per cent to 3.75 per cent," Ms Beacher said.

"We expect an additional 25 basis point increase in the cash rate to 4 per cent at the 2 February Reserve Bank board meeting, and a pause in March, scaling back the pace of the Reserve Bank returning the cash rate to more neutral levels."

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