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Quarterly price surge predicted in key Melbourne and Darwin suburbs

By Sebastian Holloman
25 June 2025 | 8 minute read
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Various suburbs across the nation have been earmarked for imminent growth, with property prices in Melbourne and Darwin positioned to surge over the coming months.

Hotspotting’s Winter 2025 Price Predictor Index has revealed the top suburbs across the country where rising sales volumes are paving the way for future price increases.

Hotspotting director, Terry Ryder, said the company determined which markets were “supercharged” for future growth by observing the locations with the strongest patterns of rising sales over the past four or more quarters.

“Our research shows that locations with sales activity (buyer demand) rising strongly will see prices rising, but with a time lag,” he explained.

Ryder said that the winter quarter has been defined by the resurgence of Frankston and the surrounding Greater Melbourne suburbs, exceeding much of the nation’s markets in growth.

While the Melbourne market had previously been sluggish, Ryder said the recovery accelerated in 2025, with Frankston LGA surging at the head of the city’s newfound growth.

“While not every part of Melbourne is booming, the Frankston LGA is clearly a powerhouse, with Frankston, Carrum Downs, and Langwarrin all on our Top 50 list,” Ryder said.

The report showed that Victoria accounted for 18 of the 50 supercharged suburbs over the winter quarter, the highest numbers nationwide.

Additionally, Ryder said houses in the Norlane and Werribee markets are set to flourish over the coming months.

Similarly, the report showed that Darwin suburbs which had not been on investors’ radar delivered strong performance over the quarter.

Hotspotting’s general manager, Tim Graham, said that 92 per cent of Greater Darwin’s markets ranked positively, and none were in decline.

“Six months ago, we told our clients that Darwin was on the brink of a serious comeback and that forecast has proven bang on. The numbers are unmatched anywhere else,” Graham said.

Over the winter quarter, the Northern Territory’s standout performers included the unit market in Darwin and houses in the Palmerston-based markets of Durack and Rosebery.

Down south, Ryder explained that Adelaide had continued its run as one of the most stable growth markets across the nation.

“Adelaide has been rising longer than any other and continues to deliver despite a small drop in quarterly sales,” he said.

Despite the number of rising markets across South Australia dipping slightly over the winter quarter, Ryder said that sales figures were still up.

“That means more areas are seeing sustained buyer activity a key indicator of future price increases,” he explained.

Across South Australia, Hotspotting’s findings showed that Christies Beach and Ingle Farm were among the top supercharged suburbs during the winter quarter.

In Queensland, the Gold Coast stood out among the other regional Queensland locations, recording four of the state’s seven supercharged suburbs.

Within the rapidly growing coastal market, Graham said that the popular unit markets of Surfers Paradise, Mermaid Beach, and Miami, were earmarked for particular growth over the winter quarter.

“The Gold Coast remains one of the most dynamic regional markets in the country. Sixty of its 90 suburbs are trending upwards in sales, and total transactions are climbing,” he explained.

While growth is still anticipated for regional markets, Ryder observed a “noticeable tilt” towards the capital cities, such as Melbourne, Darwin and Adelaide, with 50 nationwide declining markets in metropolitan areas.

Nevertheless, Ryder said that Hotspotting’s data showed that sales volumes have typically been a better indication of growth as opposed to forecasts based solely on median property prices.

“Anyone who thought the market was flat hasn’t been paying attention. The real story is not in median prices it’s in sales volumes, and the signs are clear,” he concluded.

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